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Time for young pretender to take crown

Lewis Hamilton's debut year in Formula One thrust him into the spotlight, but now expectations are higher. Chief Sports Writer Scott Wilson previews the new season which starts tomorrow in Australia

TWELVE months ago, it was hope; now, it is expectation. If Lewis Hamilton thought things were tough in his maiden season in Formula One, they could be about to get an awful lot tougher.

No longer the wide-eyed rookie, Hamilton will start the opening race of his second season as a formula one driver in Australia tomorrow as a world champion in waiting.

The 23-year-old's debut campaign was so stellar, so startlingly impressive given his immaturity, that this year's driver's championship is already being viewed as the 18-race anointment of motor racing's latest king.

Having finished just one point behind Ferrari's Kimi Raikkonen last season despite the double distraction of the ongoing McLaren-Mercedes spy saga and the tensions that plagued his relationship with team-mate Fernando Alonso, Hamilton will start the new campaign with much in his favour.

But the successes that were unexpected 12 months ago will now be demanded each weekend.

Mistakes that were previously put down to inexperience will be interpreted as evidence of an inability to handle pressure. And the rod that Hamilton made for his own back last season will be used against him as soon as anything goes wrong.

A second-placed finish was a cause of celebration last autumn, but this time around, it will not be sufficient.

"Second-year syndrome is much more prevalent than you might think," said former world champion, Jackie Stewart. "It is a real possibility for any driver.

No matter how much you have done or achieved, it is only when you get into Formula One that you begin to appreciate how little you really know."

Hamilton is undoubtedly still learning, but if the evidence of his first season in the sport is anything to go by, his second could yet see him secure his status as a formula one great.

After all, while the pressure has increased, Hamilton's experience has also grown exponentially.

With a season of racing under his belt, the youngster should be much better equipped to deal with the problems and pitfalls that will come his way.

He knows the tracks now, and has built up a close relationship with key members of the McLaren pit team. Last year's much-publicised fall-out with Alonso might have created a divide within the wider McLaren camp, but it undoubtedly served to bring Hamilton's crew closer together than they might otherwise have been.

"I feel my relationship with the team is better than ever because in any situation, when you go through an experience with a group of people, it definitely builds tension,"

said Hamilton.

"At the end of it, though, the relationship does grow. As they have known me for many years now, they know I would do anything for the team."

That bond could prove crucial in a campaign that is likely to be every bit as tight as last season's, and the latest raft of rule changes could also work in Hamilton's favour.

Traction control, a computerised system that helps prevent wheelspin, has been banned, a development that should ensure drivers pay a higher price for their mistakes.

Hamilton, with his inherent feel for the right racing line, makes fewer errors than most of his rivals.

Similarly, the introduction of a single electronic control unit is also a development that should benefit McLaren. In the past, each team has used its own control unit. This year, they will all use the same system, and it has been manufactured in part by McLaren.

New rules are one thing, though; old controversies are quite another. The motor racing authorities would like to sweep last year's spying scandal under the carpet, but McLaren will continue to suffer its consequences for a number of months yet.

The Woking-based team preached business as usual after they were fined a record £50m following the discovery of a 780- page dossier containing sensitive Ferrari technical information, but the fall-out from the saga continues to hang over them and precious testing and development time has been spent rebutting an Italian criminal investigation.

This year's McLaren is an improved version of last season's, but in guaranteeing no prohibited material was present, the team engineers were forced to ignore specific areas - the use of exotic gases in tyres and certain parts of the braking system in particular - that were central to Ferrari's research and development.

That will hardly help Hamilton, and the arrival of Finn Heikki Kovalainen could also prove a double-edged sword.

The Scandinavian is no Alonso, and a harmonious team should generally be a more successful one. But with McLaren standing by their policy of not favouring one driver over another, it will be interesting to see how Hamilton reacts now he has been paired with a driver who was hugely impressive in an underperforming Renault last term. If Hamilton needs a co-operative team-mate at the business end of this season, he can hardly complain if Kovalainen refuses to be one.

Raikkonen should have no such problems with Felipe Massa and, for the second season in succession, the 28-year-old Finn is likely to be Hamilton's leading rival.

Uncommunicative and laconic, Raikkonen is the polar opposite of his British opponent, but his ability behind the wheel makes him a more than worthy adversary. In fact, on last season's performances, the Ferrari driver is superior to his challenger.

The popular perception of last year's title is that Hamilton threw it away. The alternative view is that Raikkonen won it.

He claimed two more Grand Prix wins than Hamilton and, as his rival imploded in the final two months of the campaign, won three of the last four races to claim the drivers' title by a point.

Raikkonen has proved he can succeed under pressure, and with this year's Ferrari looking even better than the car he drove to the title in Sao Paulo last October in the most recent round of pre-season tests, the flying Finn will start as favourite to claim a second successive crown.

It will be a surprise if he does not win in Melbourne tomorrow, and his calmness and commitment will make him a formidable front-runner.

Alonso's flamboyance made him a more volatile proposition, but having returned to Renault after a season-long hiatus, the Spaniard will have to get used to some mind-numbing predictability. He will get a lot of different views this season, but the vast majority will be of the back ends of other cars.

Renault claimed just one podium finish in the whole of last season, and while Alonso's return has boosted morale, the current campaign is likely to be another struggle. Having recently bought Queens Park Rangers, Flavio Briatore now finds himself presiding over two second-rate teams.

McLaren and Ferrari are likely to finish well clear of the chasing pack, but if anyone threatens the current duopoly this season, it will surely be the BMW-Saubers of Nick Heidfeld and Robert Kubica.

Heidfeld's two podium finishes last season underlined his talent, while Kubica's recovery from an horrendous accident in Montreal confirmed he has the mental strength to go along with his undoubted driving ability.

Williams and Red Bull should challenge Renault in the middle of the grid, while Jenson Button will be desperately hoping that Ross Brawn's arrival will finally transform the fortunes of an ailing Honda team.

Toyota will continue to make slow but steady progress, but Super Aguri will do well to survive the season at all given the financial problems that have haunted them throughout the winter.

There will be the added excitement of a night race under floodlights on a waterfront street circuit in Singapore, but for most British motor racing fans, the season will stand or fall on the performances of one man.

Last season was great for starters; now it is time for Hamilton to serve up the main course.

10:19am Saturday 15th March 2008

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